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Joe D'Amico's SUPER BOWL LIV WINER + 10 PROPS

Joe D'Amico's SUPER BOWL LIV WINER + 10 PROPS

San Francisco vs. Kansas City, 02/02/2020 18:30 EDT, Score: 20 - 31

Point Spread: +1½/-103 San Francisco

Sportsbook: PinnacleSports

Result: Loss

SUPER BOWL LIV
Take San Francisco.
Game 101.
3:30 pm pst.

I feel that the line here is about where it should be to appeal to both sides. I sincerely feel that this game is a true pick 'em. Both teams are very well coached and have had two full weeks to rest, heal, and prepare.
Kansas City enters this game winning eight in a row SU and going 7-0-1 ATS. They rank fifth in scoring at 28.2 PPG behind the NFLs fifth ranked passing unit. Patrick Mahomes has been outstanding this postseason, passing for 615 yards with eight TD's and no INT's, adding 106 yards rushing and one score on the ground. The one weakness the offense has is that they don't have a real threat at running back to keep defenses honest and eat away the clock. This specific matchup will be extra difficult as San Francisco owns the No. 1 pass defense in football. They will slow down Mahomes a bit. But, he is capable and dangerous when pressured.
The 49ers possess a monstrous ground attack, ranking second in the league. Overall, the "O" accounts for over 29.9 PPG (No. 2). Quarterback, Jimmy Garoppolo, who isn't as polished as his counterpart, has led this team to a 15-3 mark in his first healthy campaign. They will exploit the Chiefs 23rd ranked run defense.
There’s an argument for both sides here. But, to win on this stage, you must be able to run the ball with authority, control the clock, and be able to put pressure on the opposing quarterback. All things that San Francisco does well.
San Francisco is 5-0 ATS the last five games played as an underdog and 6-1 ATS the last seven games played vs. teams with a winning record. Take the 49ers. Thank you.

Below are some of my favorite prop bets for Super Bowl LIV:
Shortest Field Goal Of Game 27.5 Yards. UNDER -110.
Both coaches are smart and will want any points they can muster, therefore take the under here.
Will There Be Overtime? YES +800.
In what I feel is going to be a close game, this prop offers huge value.
Will The Game Be Tied After 0-0? YES -110.
To me, this is one of the smartest of the prop wagers.
Total Rushing Yards By Raheem Mostert 73.5. OVER -110.
A huge part of the 49ers offense that gained over 278 yards rushing this postseason.
Longest Rush By Patrick Mahomes 11.5 Yards. OVER -110.
Mahomes has great feet and is facing a fierce pass rush so he will need to run the ball a bit to make plays and at times stay alive. He will gain some yards.
Total Touchdown Passes By Patrick Mahomes 3. OVER +200.
The Chiefs offense is all about the pass. The QB has 8 TD's this postseason.
Total Rushing Yards By Patrick Mahomes 29.5. OVER -110.
Mahomes' feet is a big reason why the Chiefs offense is successful.
Total Rushing Yards By San Francisco 135.5. OVER -110.
The 49ers are a running offense and will need to control the clock to keep the Chiefs "O" off the field.
Longest Lead UNDER 14.5 points +110.
I feel this is going to be a very tight game therefore no huge leads.
San Francisco To Lead After First Quarter. YES -110.
As I stated earlier, I feel this is going to be a tough game and the score will seesaw.


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