POWER SPORTS' *10* SUPER BOWL SIDE >> 11-4 OVERALL THIS WEEK!
San Francisco vs. Kansas City,
02/02/2020 18:30 EDT,
Score: 20 - 31
Point Spread: -1½/-104 Kansas City
10* Kansas City (6:30 ET): So, after much consternation, the Chiefs are my pick to cover the spread in Super Bowl LIV. While I agree with the oddsmakers’ assertion that these teams do rate pretty evenly, what this play ultimately comes down to is taking the more proven commodity. Admittedly, San Francisco was my pick to be the most improved team in the league this year and went from 4-12 to 15-3 SU. But Kansas City has won 10+ games each of the L5 seasons, not to mention has won/covered eight in a row coming into Sunday. They’ll have the best player on the field (Patrick Mahomes) and I believe will win their 1st SB in 50 years.
Despite falling behind Houston 24-0 in the Divisional Round and Tennessee 17-7 in the AFC Championship Game, the Chiefs were able to storm back and win both games by double digits. Mahomes and the offense have been absurdly efficient in the playoff, scoring a touchdown on 60% of all drives, including seven straight vs. the Texans. It won’t be that easy against the 49ers, who rank 2nd in total defense. But slowing this Chiefs’ offense down is easier said than done. In the end, I trust Mahomes to put up more points than Jimmy Garoppolo.
Don’t discount what the Chiefs’ defense has been doing either. During their 8-0 SU/ATS run, they’ve held the opposition to an average of just 13.7 PPG. In the regular season, they (like the 49ers) were a top 10 scoring defense. Interestingly enough, in the last 18 Super Bowls, the team with the fewer wins has gone 15-2-1 ATS. That’s KC here. The Chiefs have covered the spread by an average of 7 pts during the 8-0 ATS run and Andy Reid has always been outstanding off a bye, going 21-8 ATS in his career, including 2-0 this season. 10* Kansas City