Phoenix vs. Milwaukee,
02/02/2020 14:00 EDT,
Score: 108 - 129
Total: -105/+233 Over
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The over version goes over at a rate of 57.9.
Comparing current total to previous totals creates an over angle that is 2229-1877-79. When both apply, it goes over 430-270-20. Since 2017, over at 67.8, since 2018 at 69.3, and this season 71.1.