Vegas vs. Tampa Bay, 02/04/2020 19:00 EDT, Score: 2 - 4

Money Line: -167 Tampa Bay

Sportsbook: PinnacleSports

Result: Win

7* Tampa Bay (7:05 ET): Even when they were languishing as low as fifth place in the Atlantic Division, my outlook the Lightning remained pretty optimistic due to a goal differential that was among the league’s best. Sure enough, they’ve quickly risen up the standings and are now second in the division, behind only Boston. Their YTD goal differential of +43 is the league’s best right now and LY’s Presidents Trophy winners have gone 15-2-1 SU the L18 games overall.

Since returning from the All-Star Break, the Lightning have gone 3-0-1, the lone loss in OT @ Dallas. All four games were on the road, the latest resulting in a 3-0 shutout of San Jose. Tonight marks the 1st game in TB since January 14th and only the third game here since Jan 9th. This fact is a big deal as the Lightning are a dominant home team, averaging 4.1 goals per game here and outscoring opponents by 1.2 gpg. Both figures are league bests. I’m a little stunned that we are able to grab them at this kind of price.

Vegas is also off a 3-0 win, theirs coming at Nashville on Sunday. That put the Golden Knights into third place in the relatively wide-open Pacific Division. But a big key here is that this will be their SEVENTH consecutive road game and third since the Break. The Knights don’t score enough on the road (2.9 gpg) so it’s difficult for me to envision them keeping pace with the Lightning, who are 8-0 vs. the Pacific Division this year and 7-0-1 SU L8 home games. 7* Tampa Bay

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