Wisconsin vs. Minnesota,
02/05/2020 21:00 EDT,
Score: 52 - 70
Point Spread: -3/-109 Minnesota
After an upset win over now-No. 16 Michigan State this past weekend, the Wisconsin Badgers make their way across state borders to face Minnesota on Wednesday evening in what Im betting is a huge letdown spot. I know there could be some recncy bias applied here by bettors and pundits because of the Gophers last game that saw them lose at Illinois last time out 59-51 despite of looking every bit efficient as their opponents. Note:
MINNESOTA is 8-0 ATS off an embarrassing road loss scoring less than 60 points over the last 2 seasons
MINNESOTA is 7-0 ATS versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.
Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) - average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against a poor offensive team (63-67 PPG), after scoring 60 points or less 2 straight games are 81-10 L/23 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +8.9 ppg.
Starting with the 2017 season, Big 10 teams ranked outside the top 11 that are home vs an unranked team and favored by less than 8 or a dog are 23-1 ATS.
Play on Minnesota to cover