Memphis vs. Washington,
02/09/2020 18:00 EDT,
Score: 106 - 99
Total: -110/+241 Over
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The over version goes over at a rate of 1201-873-66.
Comparing current total to previous totals creates an over angle that is 2231-1878-80 including 411-266-25 since 2015. When both apply it is 432-271-20. It gets better each year ass it is 67.8 percent last three years, 69.2 last two, and 70.7 this season.