Sacramento vs. Milwaukee, 02/10/2020 20:00 EDT, Score: 111 - 123

Point Spread: +14/-105 Sacramento

Sportsbook: PinnacleSports

Result: Win

10* Sacramento (8:05 ET): Milwaukee is obviously an elite team with few holes as we approach the All-Star Break. In fact, I don’t think it’s going out on a limb to say the Bucks are - rather easily - the top team in the league right now. Since X-Mas, they’ve gone 18-2 SU including perfect 4-0 start to February. This stretch includes an easy 21-point win at Sacramento on January 10th, but for a variety of reasons I’m expecting things to be closer here. This will end up being the most points Sacramento gets in any game all season.

Despite what the final score ended up being, the Kings actually fought valiantly against the Bucks last month, rallying to take the lead in the 3Q after trailing by as many as 18 early. But a -20 discrepancy in attempts at the FT line was too much to overcome as were 16 turnovers and poor 3-point shooting. That loss ended up being the start of a five-game SU/ATS slide for the Kings, but they’ll arrive in Milwaukee in much better form. They’ve won and covered three straight including 122-102 over San Antonio Saturday night.

Now skeptics will point to the fact that all three wins came in Sacramento. But I’m not expecting a win here. However, the number is such that a play on the Kings plus the points is warranted. They are 9-2 ATS the last 11 times they’ve gotten at least 12.5 points from the oddsmakers. Also, there’s a chance Giannis Antetokounmpo may not play tonight for the Bucks (“personal reasons”). So I’d bet this one quickly as the line should come down by several points if Antetokounmpo is out. Regardless, I see the Kings covering. 10* Sacramento

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