Sacramento vs. Milwaukee,
02/10/2020 20:00 EDT,
Score: 111 - 123
Total: -105/+227½ Under
We all know the Bucks go at full throttle most nights behind the no1 pace and no 1 offence in the league, but their D continues to get better and is now ranked 7th in ppg allowed and ranked 1st in defensive rating. Note: DRating - Defensive Rating for players and teams it is points allowed per 100 possessions. Because of slightly bloated lines the Bucks have seen 6 of their L/9 stay under the total, and tonight Im betting there is more value to the under on board according to my projections which are a full possession under this number at 224. I know might seem like . small edge, but any edge against very accurate overall totals is a contrarian go signal situation for me.
The Bucks are 1-20 UNDER L/21 off a 10+ win in a road game after a win in which they never trailed with a combined average score of 195.1 ppg scored with only 1 game in the 21 sub set going over this set total. The Bucks are 0-13 UNDER L/13 as a home favorite with less than two days rest off a 10+ win as a road favorite in which they had less than 15% of their points from free throws with a combined average 0f 202 ppg going on the board with none of the games eclipsing this posted total.
NBAl teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (MILWAUKEE) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after a blowout win by 20 points or more are 51-14 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors with a combined average of 216.1 ppg going on the scoreboard.