Portland vs. New Orleans,
02/11/2020 20:00 EDT,
Score: 117 - 138
Total: -110/+240 Over
When a math total has a large enough difference to the posted total, we use the oddsmakers knowledge against them. Because we store each over and under differently in each sport, the over and under angles will have different records, but in reality one could combine them for an overall record. The over version goes over at a rate of 1204-876-66.
Comparing current total to previous totals creates an over angle that is 2233-1879-80 including 413-267-25 since 2015.
When both apply, it is 434-272-20, getting better each year at 67.8 percent since 2017, 69.2 since 2018 and 70.5 this season.