Nevada vs. UNLV, 02/12/2020 22:00 EDT, Score: 82 - 79

Point Spread: -1/-110 UNLV

Sportsbook: TopBet

Result: Loss

I'm playing on UNLV. I won with Nevada when these teams faced each other at Reno a few weeks ago. I've included an excerpt from that writeup below. I noted that the Wolf Pack were in a good situation and that I liked that they were playing in Reno. Tonight's rematch, however, is at Thomas And Mack Center in Vegas and I fully expect that to favor the Rebels. Nevada is just 2-6-1 ATS and 1-8 SU the past nine times it was a road underdog. The Rebels, on the other hand, are 7-4 ATS (9-2 SU) as home favorites. They're also 4-1 ATS the past five times that they played with revenge. I say its "payback time" in Vegas, tonight.

Writeup on Nevada on 1/22. I expect homecourt to prove significant in this battle of instate rivals. Off a loss against SDSU, Nevada is going to be angry. The Wolfpack won last year's games by 17, at UNLV and by 19 here, at Nevada. They were favored by -16.5 points for that game. While the gap between the teams has absolutely narrowed, I don't believe its done so enough to warrant such a huge different in the pointspread. The Wolfpack are still 7-2 at home this season and that includes a 3-1 SU/ATS mark as home favorites of -6 or less. They're 6-1 SU/ATS their last seven in that role, dating back the past couple of years. During that span, the Pack are also 4-2 ATS (5-1 SU) when off a double-digit loss. Meanwhile, the Rebels are 0-3 SU/ATS when off b2b double-digit conference wins. Nevada bounces back with an important win, covering the small number along the way.

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