Miami vs. Utah, 02/12/2020 21:00 EDT, Score: 101 - 116

Point Spread: +4½/-105 Miami

Sportsbook: Bodog

Result: Loss

10* Miami (9:05 ET): Oddsmakers would appear to be “begging” you to take Utah here as the line has been set low. The Jazz have won three straight, one of them a “controversial” win over Miami and the other two being upsets of Houston and Dallas on the road. So they are hot. And we know Miami struggles on the road. But the Heat finally did win a game on this “West Coast” swing by beating Golden State 113-101 (-7) on Monday. Jimmy Butler is now back in the lineup after missing two games, which obviously makes the Heat a more formidable team.

Personally, I don’t see any issue with the line here as these teams come into Wednesday with the exact same records and are both in fourth place in their respective conferences. I won’t run from the fact the Heat are just 13-15 SU on the road, but note they are only being outscored on average by 2.4 points in those games. Utah’s three game win streak has seen them prevail by three, one and four points. They haven’t won a game by more than five points since 1.22 against Golden State!

So I think there’s a pretty viable scenario that the Heat could lose this game and still cover. After all, the reverse of that happened when the Jazz visited Miami back on 12.27. The Heat won 107-104, but Utah got the cash as 4.5 point dogs. Of course, I very much give the Heat a chance to win this game as they are a much better team with Butler back in the lineup. The Jazz have not been playing great defense recently and aren’t about to approach the 59.0 FG% they had Monday vs. Dallas. Take the points. 10* Miami

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