8* Tuesday MLB NYM/MIA

8* Tuesday MLB NYM/MIA

NY Mets vs. Miami, 09/02/2014 19:10 EDT, Score: 8 - 6

Total: -110/+7½ Over

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Win

Miami & NY Mets over 7.5

Tuesday evening's N.L. East matchup pits a mediocre starter against a below-average starter and we believe that this game will produce a lot of runs.

Jonathan Niese gets the call for the Mets. Niese boasts a 3.48 ERA on the season but has been slightly worse on the road where his ERA jumps to 3.74 and his WHIP rises to 1.337. We have nothing against Niese, but we believe that this Marlins lineup poses some major issues for the left-hander. Miami has been raking against lefties all season long, scoring an average of 5.0 runs per game against southpaws. That's over a full run higher per game than against righties. The Marlins have seen Niese 14 times in his career, and 9 of those games have played over the total.

On the other side of things, we have very little faith in Brad Penny. The aging veteran looked decent in his return from a two year absence against Cincinnati, but faltered in his second start, giving up 4 ER in 5 IP against the lowly Diamondbacks. New York is one of the few teams in the Majors that actually hits better on the road than they do at home, and they shouldn't have much of an issue tagging Penny for some runs tonight.

The over is 10-1-2 in the Mets' last 13 road games and 3-0-2 in Niese's last 5 starts overall. The over is also 5-0 in the last 5 meetings between these two teams.

Take the OVER.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

8* Play

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