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8* Wednesday MLB DET/CLE

8* Wednesday MLB DET/CLE

Detroit vs. Cleveland, 09/03/2014 19:05 EDT, Score: 0 - 7

Money Line: -115 Cleveland

Sportsbook: JustBet

Result: Win

Cleveland Indians ML

Justin Verlander continues to be overpriced because of his past results, and we'll gladly fade him once again in a great spot for the Indians.

Verlander has had an awful season. His 4.62 ERA is a far cry from the numbers that he posted when he won a Cy Young two years ago, and he's been even more atrocious as of late. Verlander's last three starts have seen him yield 9 ER in just over 12 innings of work, for an ugly 5.93 ERA. Of even more concern is the insane 2.048 WHIP that he's posted in those three contests. Verlander limited the White Sox to 1 ER last time out, but that number is extremely misleading as the White Sox simply couldn't hit with runners in scoring position, wasting their 11 base runners. To make matters worse for Verlander, he now has some off the field distractions thanks to the nude photos that were released of himself and his girlfriend earlier this week. Our bet is that baseball is the last thing on Verlander's mind right now.

Verlander battles an Indians' lineup that is very tough on righties, scoring 4.5 runs per game. The Indians are also a strong hitting team at home, where they've amassed a solid 39-27 record. Verlander has notoriously struggled against Cleveland, posting a 4.28 ERA in 38 career starts against the Indians, including many starts where Verlander was one of the league's elite pitchers.

Cleveland sends Danny Salazar to the hill, and his 4.23 ERA in extremely misleading. Salazar has been a different pitcher since being recalled from the minors, posting a stellar 1.69 ERA and 1.000 WHIP in his last three starts. Even through his struggles earlier in the year, Salazar posted a solid 3.52 ERA at home, with the Indians going 5-2 in his 7 home starts.

The Tigers are 3-10 in their last 13 games as a road underdog and 4-10 in Verlander's last 14 starts as an underdog. Meanwhile, the Indians are 5-2 in their last 7 games following a loss.

Take Cleveland.

Good Luck, Razor Ray

8* Play


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