AAA’s OPENING NIGHT *Packers/‘Hawks* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER! 14-6 (70%) 2014 NFLX!
Green Bay vs. Seattle,
09/04/2014 20:30 EDT,
Score: 16 - 36
Total: -107/+47½ Under
This is an 8* TOTAL BLOCKBUSTER on the UNDER between the Green Bay Packers and the Seattle Seahawks.
In 2012, the NFL season would open up with its referees on strike. The first few weeks were a bit of a joke and the one contest that stood out as the most awkward was between Green Bay and Seattle. The contest has since been dubbed the “Fail Mary” game. It was Week 3 and the home side would come away with an improbable 14-12 victory as a 3-point dog; WR Golden Tate would rip the ball away from GB’s MD Jennings on what would be called the game-winning 24 yard touchdown catch as time expired. The replacement refs would call the INT a TD, turning what would have been a 12-7 Packers win and cover into a loss. That was a defining of game of sorts for both sides, since then the teams have been moving in opposite directions. Here we are two years later and to say each club has big expectations coming into 2014/15 would be a bit of an understatement. The Hawks range between 5-1 and 6-1 to repeat, while the Packers are anywhere from 9-1 to 13-1. The one thing these teams have in common is a strong run game, we can expect each to make it a point of emphasis in establishing this part of their offense early and often. Despite winning the Super Bowl last year, Green Bay gets the nod under center with Aaron Rodgers; that said, Russell Wilson is obviously not that far behind. Seattle though will definitely get a big nod on the defensive side of the field, the secondary has the potential to once again be the best in the league led by boisterous CB Richard Sherman, negating the Packers advantage in that department. This O/U line opened at 44.5 and has since been bet as high as 47.5 (I personally have 46), the general wagering public loves hammering OVERS on prime time games, they certainly paid big dividends in 2013/14, but I predict a much tighter affair than what the masses anticipate. Green Bay has consistently been one of the highest scoring teams over the last two season’s, but note that it’s seen the total go UNDER the number in 14 of its last 27 vs. conference opponents; and note that Seattle has seen the total dip below the posted number in 18 of its last 28 vs. confernece opponents and in 15 of its last 27 when playing the role of favorite. I think that the situation, the numbers and the trends all point to the UNDER as the sharp wager on Opening Night.