Rogers' 10* Coach's Clinic - Very Early Start

Rogers' 10* Coach's Clinic - Very Early Start

Cleveland vs. Tampa Bay, 07/02/2015 12:10 EDT, Score: 5 - 4

Total: -106/+6½ Over

Sportsbook: 5Dimes

Result: Win

The Tampa Bay Rays bats have been very quiet so far in this series, but the Cleveland Indians have been all the hotter hammering in 21 runs over the first three games of the series. The number on the total looks way too low for me considering the potential in both teams line-up, and I think we should see this one fly over by quite some margin.

Here are my keys to the game:

1. Pitching - The Rays will hand the ball to Matt Moore who will make his first start for almost 14 months. The 26 year old southpaw made just two starts in 2014 before suffering an elbow injury that forced him to have Tommy John surgery. He has not gone deeper than 5 1/3 innings in any of his rehab outings and has a 3.78 ERA in four career outings versus Cleveland who will counter with its struggling ace Corey Kluber (3-9, 3.66 ERA). Kluber is 0-4 with a 3.97 ERA in his last five starts while yielding 10 walks and three homers. He has a 3.66 ERA and has been nowhere near the form that saw him claim the AL Cy Young trophy last year.

2. Cleveland's Bats - The Tribe have averaged 5.33 runs per game over their last six and have hit southpaws hard all season long scoring a major league best 119 for the year.

3. X-Factor - David DeJusus and Evan Longoria are a combined 8-for-22 against Kluber in previous meetings.

Selection: This is a play on [email protected] to go over the total (10*)

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