Schule's 10* MLB Total Recall TERMINATOR - *EARLY START*
San Francisco vs. Miami,
07/02/2015 12:10 EDT,
Score: 4 - 5
Total: -110/+6½ Over
This is a 10* play on SF@MIA to go OVER the total.
The Miami Marlins will welcome back their ace Jose Fernandez on Thursday, and he's starting opposite Matt Cain who is also coming off a lengthy stint on the DL. The bookmakers have the total listed at 6.5 for this game, and that might make sense if these two starters were at their best. That's not the case though, and both could be working on a pitch count, likely to exit early.
Fernandez allowed four runs on six hits in his last rehab start at Triple-A, and I think it would be a little naive to expect the 22 year old to come in and pitch a shutout in his first start in the majors in almost a year.
Matt Cain is best known for throwing a perfect game in 2012, but he's been far from perfect since. The 30 year old was 2-7 with a 4.18 ERA in 15 starts last season, and he surrendered 13 home runs in those games. Two of those home runs came in a loss to the Marlins.
I would be surprised to see either of these two starters go deep into this game, and I wouldn't be surprised to see either of the two get roughed up.