FREE PLAY from Tony George Sports

FREE PLAY from Tony George Sports

Colorado vs. Arizona, 07/02/2015 21:40 EDT, Score: 1 - 8

Money Line: -144 Arizona

Sportsbook: PinnacleSports

Result: Win

Colorado @ Arizona

Courtesy of Tony George Sports

This is a perfect example of laying a more than average moneyline in MLB tonight. Rarely, if at all do I ever lay more than -150 on any MLB game no matter how tasty it looks, and this game tonight is just under the cutoff line at -143 with the hometown Diamondbacks favored and opening up a weekend series against the Rockies, who I may mention are a great fade team on the road.

Let us look at the pitchers here and it ends the argument 2-Fold. Chris Rusin has over a 5 ERA on the road this season, and looking closely at the Totals play in this game, the Las Vegas Line is set at 9.5 runs, so you know oddsmakers know he’s going to give up hits and runs. Colorado has managed 23 wins in their last 84 road games, and specifically looking at this series, the D Backs own the Rockies winning 44 out of the last 64 meetings at home against the Rockies.

Hellickson is no star on the hill for Arizona and actually has a higher ERA on the season than does Rusin, but the Rockies and Rusin combined together on the road is flat out fade, which means you go against them, and quite frankly I saw this number coming in at -160 to -170, so even though the line is chalky, I find value in it at less than -150.

Arizona is playing with some revenge as Colorado took 2 out of 3 from them in their home stand a few weeks ago, and every game was a hit-fest, and I expect a lot of runs here tonight but overall the Rockies in their last 5 games have hit .158 as a team against southpaws and I like the D Backs chances tonight at home.


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